Let’s go back and BET the ST. CARDINAL LOUIS (+145) at DraftKings Sportsbook to beat the Los Angeles Dodgers (-175) for a second straight game at Dodger Stadium on Saturday. We follow roughly the same logic as the Cardinals-Dodgers handicap on Friday, which collected a nice ticket.
- Moneyline (ML): CARDINAL +145Dodgers-170
- Run Line: Cardinals +1.5 (-140), Dodgers -1.5 (+120)
- Total (O/U) — 7.5 — O: -110, U: -110
Starters
| Crew | Cardinals (89-63) | Dodgers (104-47) |
| Launcher | HPL Jordan Montgomery | HPL Clayton Kershaw |
| Registration | 8-5 | 9-3 |
| TIME | 3.26 | 2.39 |
| FIP | 3.47 | 2.50 |
| K% | 22.0% | 27.5% |
| BB% | 5.0% | 4.5% |
| HR/9 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| Last start | L, 3-0, vs Reds: 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 1 HR, 9 K, 2 BB on 09/18 | W, 5-2, against D-Backs: 6 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 10 K, 0 BB on 9/19 |
Cardinals Rake Lefty Pitching
The St. Louis lineup ranks atop most advanced hitting categories against lefties such as wRC+, wOBA, ISO, and BB/K rate, per FanGraphs. Certainly, Kershaw is one of the best starters of his generation.
However, it’s been profitable to wipe out Kershaw and the Dodgers in similar situations recently. LA is 5-7 as favorites of -170 ML or less with -28.5% return on investment (ROI).
Plus, with Friday’s series opener, the Cardinals are now the most profitable team in baseball against left-handed starters with a +25.9% ROI.
‘RLM’ to St. Louis
RLM stands for “Reverse Line Movement”. That applies to Saturday’s Cardinals-Dodgers meeting. DraftKings reports that about 80% of the action is in Los Angeles, but the Dodgers’ ML is getting cheaper, per VSIN. It’s suspicious, right? It looks a bit like a trap that lowers the ML of World Series favorites.
The vibes are high for St. Louis after future Hall of Famer Albert Pujol hit his 699th and 700th career home runs on Friday. The Cardinals have the second best record in the NL over the last 30 games (19-11) and their magic number to clinch the NL Central is 3.5.
Behind the Dodgers, of course. Either way, St. Louis and Los Angeles are moving in the same direction, but the ST. CARDINAL LOUIS (+145) get a great price at DraftKings Sportsbook.
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